Academic

Jeffrey A. Friedman

Political Science · 0000-0002-3013-3950 · Dartmouth College

Citations received by year

Google Scholar profile

Citations received in each calendar year across this verified Scholar profile. Bars are annual counts; missing years are unknown. 2026 is an incomplete calendar year.

Publications

41 rows, 8 from the Scholar profile only, 7 need review

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2026 Strength Over Peace: Venezuela, Iran, and the Dicey Politics of Military Intervention ForeignAffairs.com article CV OA GS

CV span

lines 104–105 · CV · published

104Jeffrey A. Friedman, “Strength Over Peace: Venezuela, Iran, and the Dicey Politics of Military105Intervention,” ForeignAffairs.com, February 5, 2026.

Institution fields

Peer reviewed: no
First author: Friedman

Fields by source

Field	CV	OpenAlex	Scholar
title cv	Strength Over Peace: Venezuela, Iran, and the Dicey Politics of Military Intervention
year cv	2026
venue cv	ForeignAffairs.com
kind cv	article
first author cv	Friedman

Citations

OpenAlex: none
Scholar: none

Match decisions

No decision recorded; a single record.

2025 Dealing with Uncertainty and Cognitive Biases in International Politics: A Critical Dialogue Political Psychology article journal CV OA GS

CV span

lines 110–112 · CV · published

110Jeffrey A. Friedman and Dominic D. P. Johnson, “Dealing with Uncertainty and Cognitive111Biases in International Politics: A Critical Dialogue,” Political Psychology, Vol. 46, No. 1112(2025), pp. 245-254.

Institution fields

Peer reviewed: yes
First author: Friedman

Fields by source

Field	CV	Scholar
title cv	Dealing with Uncertainty and Cognitive Biases in International Politics: A Critical Dialogue	Dealing with uncertainty and cognitive biases in international politics
year cv	2025	2024
venue cv	Political Psychology	Political Psychology
kind cv	article	other
first author cv	Friedman	Johnson

Citations

OpenAlex: none
Scholar: 1

Match decisions

fingerprint merged · 1.00 · Run 17

2025 The World Is More Uncertain Than You Think: Assessing and Combating Overconfidence Among 2,000 National Security Officials Texas National Security Review article journal CV OA GS

CV span

lines 31–33 · CV · published

31Jeffrey A. Friedman, “The World Is More Uncertain Than You Think: Assessing and Combating32Overconfidence Among 2,000 National Security Officials,” Texas National Security Review,33Vol. 8, No. 4 (2025), pp. 35-48.

Institution fields

Peer reviewed: yes
First author: Friedman

Fields by source

Field	CV	OpenAlex	Scholar
title cv	The World Is More Uncertain Than You Think: Assessing and Combating Overconfidence Among 2,000 National Security Officials	The World Is More Uncertain Than You Think: Assessing and Combating Overconfidence Among 2,000 National Security Officials	The world is more uncertain than you think: Assessing and combating overconfidence among 2,000 national security officials
year cv	2025	2025	2025
venue crossref	Texas National Security Review	Texas National Security Review	Texas National Security Review
kind cv	article	article	other
DOI crossref	10.1353/tns.00011	10.1353/tns.00011
first author openalex	Friedman	Friedman	Friedman

Citations

OpenAlex: 2
Scholar: 8
DOI: 10.1353/tns.00011
OpenAlex: W4416052996

Match decisions

doi merged · 1.00 · Run 17

2024 Americans Love a Tough Guy: Why Trump Won on Foreign Policy—And What Democrats Can Learn From Him ForeignAffairs.com article CV OA GS

CV span

lines 114–116 · CV · published

114Jeffrey A. Friedman and Andrew Payne, “Americans Love a Tough Guy: Why Trump Won on115Foreign Policy—And What Democrats Can Learn From Him,” ForeignAffairs.com, November11621, 2024.

Institution fields

Peer reviewed: no
First author: Friedman

Fields by source

Field	CV	OpenAlex	Scholar
title cv	Americans Love a Tough Guy: Why Trump Won on Foreign Policy—And What Democrats Can Learn From Him
year cv	2024
venue cv	ForeignAffairs.com
kind cv	article
first author cv	Friedman

Citations

OpenAlex: none
Scholar: none

Match decisions

No decision recorded; a single record.

2024 Defining Rationality in Security Studies: Expected Utility, Theory-Driven Reasoning, and the Vietnam War Critical Review article journal CV OA GS

CV span

lines 107–108 · CV · published

107Jeffrey A. Friedman, “Defining Rationality in Security Studies: Expected Utility, Theory-Driven108Reasoning, and the Vietnam War,” Critical Review, Vol. 36, No. 4 (2024), pp. 526-540.

Institution fields

Peer reviewed: yes
First author: Friedman

Fields by source

Field	CV	OpenAlex	Scholar
title cv	Defining Rationality in Security Studies: Expected Utility, Theory-Driven Reasoning, and the Vietnam War	Defining Rationality in Security Studies: Expected Utility, Theory-Driven Reasoning, and the Vietnam War	Defining rationality in security studies: Expected utility, theory-driven reasoning, and the Vietnam War
year cv	2024	2024	2024
venue crossref	Critical Review	Critical Review	Critical Review
kind cv	article	article	other
DOI crossref	10.1080/08913811.2024.2433878	10.1080/08913811.2024.2433878
first author openalex	Friedman	Friedman	Friedman

Citations

OpenAlex: 1
Scholar: 1
DOI: 10.1080/08913811.2024.2433878
OpenAlex: W4406242723

Match decisions

doi merged · 1.00 · Run 17

2024 Strategy is Only Partly an Illusion: ‘Relative Foresight’ as an Objective Standard for Evaluating Foreign Policy Competence Foreign Policy Analysis article journal CV OA GS

CV span

lines 39–41 · CV · published

39Jeffrey A. Friedman* and Richard Zeckhauser, “Strategy is Only Partly an Illusion: ‘Relative40Foresight’ as an Objective Standard for Evaluating Foreign Policy Competence,” Foreign Policy41Analysis, Vol. 20, No. 3 (2024), orae015.

Institution fields

Peer reviewed: yes
First author: Friedman

Fields by source

Field	CV	OpenAlex	Scholar
title cv	Strategy is Only Partly an Illusion: ‘Relative Foresight’ as an Objective Standard for Evaluating Foreign Policy Competence	Strategy Is Only Partly an Illusion: 'Relative Foresight' as an Objective Standard for Evaluating Foreign Policy CompetenceStrategy Is Only Partly an Illusion: “Relative Foresight” as an Objective Standard for Evaluating Foreign Policy Competence	Strategy Is Only Partly an Illusion:“Relative Foresight” as an Objective Standard for Evaluating Foreign Policy Competence
year cv	2024	20242024	2024
venue crossref	Foreign Policy Analysis	SSRN Electronic JournalForeign Policy Analysis	Foreign Policy Analysis
kind cv	article	working_paperarticle	other
DOI crossref	10.1093/fpa/orae015	10.2139/ssrn.482428610.1093/fpa/orae015
preprint DOI openalex		10.2139/ssrn.4824286
first author openalex	Friedman	FriedmanFriedman	Friedman

Citations

OpenAlex: 1
Scholar: 1
DOI: 10.1093/fpa/orae015
OpenAlex: W4399837206

Match decisions

doi merged · 1.00 · Run 17

2024 The Myth of a Bipartisan Golden Age for U.S. Foreign Policy: The Truman-Eisenhower Consensus Remains International Security article journal CV OA GS

CV span

lines 35–37 · CV · published

35Jeffrey A. Friedman, “The Myth of a Bipartisan Golden Age for U.S. Foreign Policy: The36Truman-Eisenhower Consensus Remains,” International Security, Vol. 49, No. 2 (2024), pp. 97-37134.

Institution fields

Peer reviewed: yes
First author: Friedman

Fields by source

Field	CV	OpenAlex	Scholar
title cv	The Myth of a Bipartisan Golden Age for U.S. Foreign Policy: The Truman-Eisenhower Consensus Remains	The Myth of a Bipartisan Golden Age for U.S. Foreign Policy: The Truman-Eisenhower Consensus Remains	The myth of a bipartisan golden age for US foreign policy: The Truman-Eisenhower consensus remains
year cv	2024	2024	2024
venue crossref	International Security	International Security	International Security
kind cv	article	article	other
DOI crossref	10.1162/isec_a_00497	10.1162/isec_a_00497
first author openalex	Friedman	Friedman	Friedman

Citations

OpenAlex: 1
Scholar: 5
DOI: 10.1162/isec_a_00497
OpenAlex: W4404334370

Match decisions

doi merged · 1.00 · Run 17

2024 The Myth that Foreign Policy Doesn’t Matter in Presidential Elections ForeignAffairs.com article CV OA GS

CV span

lines 118–119 · CV · published

118Jeffrey A. Friedman and Andrew Payne, “The Myth that Foreign Policy Doesn’t Matter in119Presidential Elections,” ForeignAffairs.com, October 8, 2024.

Institution fields

Peer reviewed: no
First author: Friedman

Fields by source

Field	CV	OpenAlex	Scholar
title cv	The Myth that Foreign Policy Doesn’t Matter in Presidential Elections
year cv	2024
venue cv	ForeignAffairs.com
kind cv	article
first author cv	Friedman

Citations

OpenAlex: none
Scholar: none

Match decisions

No decision recorded; a single record.

2023 How the ‘Commander-in-Chief Test’ Distorts the Politics of U.S. Foreign Policy NationalInterest.org article CV OA GS needs review

CV span

lines 121–122 · CV · published

121Jeffrey A. Friedman, “How the ‘Commander-in-Chief Test’ Distorts the Politics of U.S. Foreign122Policy,” NationalInterest.org, December 15, 2023.

Institution fields

Peer reviewed: no
First author: Friedman

Fields by source

Field	CV	OpenAlex
title cv	How the ‘Commander-in-Chief Test’ Distorts the Politics of U.S. Foreign Policy	What Is the Commander-in-Chief Test and Why Does It Matter?
year cv	2023	2023
venue cv	NationalInterest.org	Cornell University Press eBooks
kind cv	article	chapter
DOI		10.7591/cornell/9781501772924.003.0002
first author cv	Friedman	Friedman

Citations

OpenAlex: none
Scholar: none
OpenAlex: W4399670669

Match decisions

passthrough_guard not merged · 0.95 · doi_conflict · Run 17 These records refer to the book The Commander-in-Chief Test with matching DOIs and titles.

2023 Issue-Image Tradeoffs and the Politics of Foreign Policy: How Leaders Use Foreign Policy Positions to Shape their Personal Images World Politics article journal CV OA GS

CV span

lines 43–45 · CV · published

43Jeffrey A. Friedman, “Issue-Image Tradeoffs and the Politics of Foreign Policy: How Leaders44Use Foreign Policy Positions to Shape their Personal Images,” World Politics, Vol. 75, No. 245(2023), pp. 280-315.

Institution fields

Peer reviewed: yes
First author: Friedman

Fields by source

Field	CV	OpenAlex	Scholar
title cv	Issue-Image Tradeoffs and the Politics of Foreign Policy: How Leaders Use Foreign Policy Positions to Shape their Personal Images	Issue-Image Trade-Offs and the Politics of Foreign Policy: How Leaders Use Foreign Policy Positions to Shape Their Personal Images	Issue-Image Trade-Offs and the Politics of Foreign Policy: How Leaders Use Foreign Policy Positions to Shape Their Personal Images
year cv	2023	2023	2023
venue crossref	World Politics	World Politics	World Politics
kind cv	article	article	other
DOI crossref	10.1353/wp.2023.0009	10.1353/wp.2023.0009
first author openalex	Friedman	Friedman	Friedman

Citations

OpenAlex: 7
Scholar: 9
DOI: 10.1353/wp.2023.0009
OpenAlex: W4362508646

Match decisions

gemini merged · 0.98 · Run 17 These records share the identical DOI, title, and publication venue for the article on issue-image tradeoffs.

2023 Obstacles to Harnessing Analytic Innovation in Foreign Policy Analysis: A Case Study of Crowdsourcing in the U.S. Intelligence Community Intelligence and National Security version 2023 Obstacles to Harnessing Analytic Innovation in Foreign Policy Analysis: A Case Study of C… article journal CV OA GS

CV span

lines 47–51 · CV · published

47Laura Resnick Samotin, Jeffrey A. Friedman, and Michael C. Horowitz, “Obstacles to48Harnessing Analytic Innovation in Foreign Policy Analysis: A Case Study of Crowdsourcing in4950the U.S. Intelligence Community,” Intelligence and National Security, Vol. 38, No. 4 (2023), pp.51558-575.

Institution fields

Peer reviewed: yes
First author: Samotin

Fields by source

Field	CV	OpenAlex	Scholar
title cv	Obstacles to Harnessing Analytic Innovation in Foreign Policy Analysis: A Case Study of Crowdsourcing in the U.S. Intelligence Community	Obstacles to harnessing analytic innovations in foreign policy analysis: a case study of crowdsourcing in the U.S. intelligence community	Obstacles to harnessing analytic innovations in foreign policy analysis: a case study of crowdsourcing in the US intelligence community
year cv	2023	2022	2023
venue crossref	Intelligence and National Security	Intelligence & National Security	Intelligence and National Security
kind cv	article	article	other
DOI crossref	10.1080/02684527.2022.2142352	10.1080/02684527.2022.2142352
first author openalex	Samotin	Samotin	Samotin

Citations

OpenAlex: 6
Scholar: 8
DOI: 10.1080/02684527.2022.2142352
OpenAlex: W4309746204

Match decisions

doi merged · 1.00 · Run 17

2023 Progressive Grand Strategy: A Synthesis and Critique Journal of Global Security Studies article journal CV OA GS

CV span

lines 53–54 · CV · published

53Jeffrey A. Friedman, “Progressive Grand Strategy: A Synthesis and Critique,” Journal of Global54Security Studies, Vol. 8, No. 1 (2023), ogac032.

Institution fields

Peer reviewed: yes
First author: Friedman

Fields by source

Field	CV	OpenAlex	Scholar
title cv	Progressive Grand Strategy: A Synthesis and Critique	Progressive Grand Strategy: A Synthesis and Critique	Progressive Grand Strategy: A Synthesis and Critique
year cv	2023	2022	2023
venue crossref	Journal of Global Security Studies	Journal of Global Security Studies	Journal of Global Security Studies
kind cv	article	article	other
DOI crossref	10.1093/jogss/ogac032	10.1093/jogss/ogac032
first author openalex	Friedman	Friedman	Friedman

Citations

OpenAlex: 0
Scholar: 5
DOI: 10.1093/jogss/ogac032
OpenAlex: W4313406191

Match decisions

doi merged · 1.00 · Run 17

2023 The Commander-in-Chief Test: Public Opinion and the Politics of Image-Making in U.S. Foreign Policy Cornell University Press book CV OA GS needs review

CV span

lines 17–19 · CV · published

17Jeffrey A. Friedman, The Commander-in-Chief Test: Public Opinion and the Politics of Image-18Making in U.S. Foreign Policy (Ithaca, N.Y.: Cornell University Press, 2023). Part of Cornell’s19“Studies in Security Affairs” series.

Institution fields

Peer reviewed: yes
First author: Friedman

Fields by source

Field	CV	OpenAlex	Scholar
title cv	The Commander-in-Chief Test: Public Opinion and the Politics of Image-Making in U.S. Foreign Policy	The Commander-in-Chief Test1. What Is the Commander-in-Chief Test and Why Does It Matter?: How the Politics of Image-Making Shape US Foreign PolicyThe Commander-in-Chief TestThe Commander-in-Chief TestPraise for The Commander-in-Chief Test —	The commander-in-chief test: public opinion and the politics of image-making in US foreign policy
year cv	2023	20232023202320232023	2023
venue cv	Cornell University Press	Cornell University Press eBooksCornell University Press eBooksCornell University Press eBooksCornell University Press eBooksCornell University Press eBooks	Cornell University Press
kind cv	book	bookchapterbookbookchapter	other
DOI crossref	10.1353/book.110071	10.1515/978150177294810.1515/9781501772948-00310.1353/book.11007110.7591/cornell/9781501772924.001.000110.7591/cornell/9781501772924.002.0001
first author openalex	Friedman	FriedmanFriedmanFriedmanFriedmanFriedman	Friedman

Also recorded as

W4389618239 (DOI 10.1515/9781501772948) · same title · 2023 The Commander-in-Chief Test
W4399416736 (DOI 10.7591/cornell/9781501772924.001.0001) · same title · 2023 The Commander-in-Chief Test

Citations

OpenAlex: 0
Scholar: 16
DOI: 10.1353/book.110071
OpenAlex: W4389746618

Match decisions

passthrough_guard not merged · 0.95 · doi_conflict · Run 17 These records refer to the book The Commander-in-Chief Test with matching DOIs and titles.

2023 The Politics of Looking Strong ForeignAffairs.com article CV OA GS

CV span

lines 124–124 · CV · published

124Jeffrey A. Friedman, “The Politics of Looking Strong,” ForeignAffairs.com, November 8, 2023.

Institution fields

Peer reviewed: no
First author: Friedman

Fields by source

Field	CV	OpenAlex	Scholar
title cv	The Politics of Looking Strong
year cv	2023
venue cv	ForeignAffairs.com
kind cv	article
first author cv	Friedman

Citations

OpenAlex: none
Scholar: none

Match decisions

No decision recorded; a single record.

2022 Is U.S. Grand Strategy Dead? The Political Foundations of Deep Engagement After Donald Trump International Affairs article journal CV OA GS

CV span

lines 56–57 · CV · published

56Jeffrey A. Friedman, “Is U.S. Grand Strategy Dead? The Political Foundations of Deep57Engagement After Donald Trump,” International Affairs, Vol. 98, No. 4 (2022), pp. 1289-1305.

Institution fields

Peer reviewed: yes
First author: Friedman

Fields by source

Field	CV	OpenAlex	Scholar
title cv	Is U.S. Grand Strategy Dead? The Political Foundations of Deep Engagement After Donald Trump	Is US grand strategy dead? The political foundations of deep engagement after Donald Trump	Is US grand strategy dead? The political foundations of deep engagement after Donald Trump
year cv	2022	2022	2022
venue crossref	International Affairs	International Affairs	International Affairs
kind cv	article	article	other
DOI crossref	10.1093/ia/iiac112	10.1093/ia/iiac112
first author openalex	Friedman	Friedman	Friedman

Citations

OpenAlex: 9
Scholar: 21
DOI: 10.1093/ia/iiac112
OpenAlex: W4283817828

Match decisions

doi merged · 1.00 · Run 17

2021 False Beliefs, the Myth of ‘Post-Truth,’and the Need for a Capacious Political Epistemology Political Epistemology article CV OA GS Scholar only

CV span

Not in the CV.

Fields by source

Field	CV	OpenAlex	Scholar
title scholar			False Beliefs, the Myth of ‘Post-Truth,’and the Need for a Capacious Political Epistemology
year scholar			2021
venue scholar			Political Epistemology
kind scholar			other
first author scholar			Friedman

Citations

OpenAlex: none
Scholar: 5

Match decisions

No decision recorded; a single record.

2021 Political Epistemology other CV OA GS Scholar only

CV span

Not in the CV.

Fields by source

Field	CV	OpenAlex	Scholar
title scholar			Political Epistemology
year scholar			2021
kind scholar			other
first author scholar			Lerner

Citations

OpenAlex: none
Scholar: none

Match decisions

No decision recorded; a single record.

2019 Improving the Accuracy of Geopolitical Risk Assessments The Future of Risk Management chapter CV OA GS

CV span

lines 126–129 · CV · published

126Barbara A. Mellers, Philip E. Tetlock, Jeffrey A. Friedman, Joshua D. Baker, and Richard127Zeckhauser, “Improving the Accuracy of Geopolitical Risk Assessments” in The Future of Risk128Management ed. Howard Kunreuther, Robert Meyer, and Erwann Michel-Kerjan (Philadelphia,129Penn.: University of Pennsylvania Press, 2019).

Institution fields

Peer reviewed: none
First author: Mellers

Fields by source

Field	CV	OpenAlex	Scholar
title cv	Improving the Accuracy of Geopolitical Risk Assessments	Chapter 12. Improving the Accuracy of Geopolitical Risk AssessmentsImproving the Accuracy of Geopolitical Risk Assessments	Improving the accuracy of geopolitical risk assessments
year cv	2019	20192019	2019
venue crossref	The Future of Risk Management	University of Pennsylvania Press eBooks	The future of risk management
kind cv	chapter	chapterchapter	other
DOI crossref	10.9783/9780812296228-013	10.9783/9780812296228-01310.2307/j.ctv16t6ggg.15
first author openalex	Mellers	MellersMellers	Mellers

Also recorded as

W4389542029 (DOI 10.2307/j.ctv16t6ggg.15) · same title · 2019

Citations

OpenAlex: 2
Scholar: 8
DOI: 10.9783/9780812296228-013
OpenAlex: W3131224719

Match decisions

classified merged · 0.98 · Run 17 resolved by the OpenAlex classification: same_title

2019 Priorities for Preventive Action: Explaining Americans’ Divergent Reactions to 100 Public Risks American Journal of Political Science article journal CV OA GS

CV span

lines 59–61 · CV · published

59Jeffrey A. Friedman, “Priorities for Preventive Action: Explaining Americans’ Divergent60Reactions to 100 Public Risks,” American Journal of Political Science, Vol. 63, No. 1 (2019),61pp. 181-196.

Institution fields

Peer reviewed: yes
First author: Friedman

Fields by source

Field	CV	OpenAlex	Scholar
title cv	Priorities for Preventive Action: Explaining Americans’ Divergent Reactions to 100 Public Risks	Priorities for Preventive Action: Explaining Americans’ Divergent Reactions to 100 Public Risks	Priorities for preventive action: Explaining Americans’ divergent reactions to 100 public risks
year cv	2019	2018	2019
venue crossref	American Journal of Political Science	American Journal of Political Science	American Journal of Political Science
kind cv	article	article	other
DOI crossref	10.1111/ajps.12400	10.1111/ajps.12400
first author openalex	Friedman	Friedman	Friedman

Citations

OpenAlex: 22
Scholar: 46
DOI: 10.1111/ajps.12400
OpenAlex: W2897282514

Match decisions

doi merged · 1.00 · Run 17

2019 War and Chance: Assessing Uncertainty in International Politics Oxford University Press version 2019 War and Chance: Assessing Uncertainty in International Politics (2019) book CV OA GS needs review

CV span

lines 21–25 · CV · published

21Jeffrey A. Friedman, War and Chance: Assessing Uncertainty in International Politics (New22York: Oxford University Press, 2019). Part of Oxford’s “Bridging the Gap” series.2324-2020 Peter Katzenstein Book Prize for an outstanding first book in International25Relations, Comparative Politics, or Political Economy.

Institution fields

Peer reviewed: yes
First author: Friedman

Fields by source

Field	CV	OpenAlex	Scholar
title cv	War and Chance: Assessing Uncertainty in International Politics	War and Chance: Assessing Uncertainty in International PoliticsPathologies of Probability AssessmentPlacing Probability Front and Center in Foreign Policy DiscourseSubjective Probability and International PoliticsIntroductionAnalysis and DecisionThe Politics of Uncertainty and BlameDispelling Illusions of RigorWar and Chance	War and chance: Assessing uncertainty in international politics
year cv	2019	201920192019201920192019201920192019	2019
venue cv	Oxford University Press		Oxford University Press
kind cv	book	articlechapterchapterchapterchapterchapterchapterchapterbook	other
DOI crossref	10.1093/oso/9780190938024.001.0001	10.1093/oso/9780190938024.003.000210.1093/oso/9780190938024.003.000810.1093/oso/9780190938024.003.000310.1093/oso/9780190938024.003.000110.1093/oso/9780190938024.003.000710.1093/oso/9780190938024.003.000610.1093/oso/9780190938024.003.000510.1093/oso/9780190938024.001.0001
first author openalex	Friedman	FriedmanFriedmanFriedmanFriedmanFriedmanFriedmanFriedmanFriedmanFriedman	Friedman

Also recorded as

W4255255247 (DOI 10.1093/oso/9780190938024.001.0001) · platform twin · 2019 War and Chance

Citations

OpenAlex: 50
Scholar: 84
DOI: 10.1093/oso/9780190938024.001.0001
OpenAlex: W2937765944

Match decisions

passthrough_guard not merged · 0.98 · same_source · Run 17 These records refer to the book War and Chance with matching DOIs and titles.
fingerprint merged · 1.00 · Run 17

2018 Analytic Confidence in Political Decision Making: Experimental Evidence from National Security Professionals Political Psychology article journal CV OA GS

CV span

lines 63–65 · CV · published

63Jeffrey A. Friedman* and Richard Zeckhauser, “Analytic Confidence in Political Decision64Making: Experimental Evidence from National Security Professionals,” Political Psychology,65Vol. 39, No. 5 (2018), pp. 1069-1087.

Institution fields

Peer reviewed: yes
First author: Friedman

Fields by source

Field	CV	OpenAlex	Scholar
title cv	Analytic Confidence in Political Decision Making: Experimental Evidence from National Security Professionals	Analytic Confidence and Political Decision‐Making: Theoretical Principles and Experimental Evidence From National Security Professionals	Analytic confidence and political decision‐making: Theoretical principles and experimental evidence from national security professionals
year cv	2018	2017	2018
venue crossref	Political Psychology	Political Psychology	Political Psychology
kind cv	article	article	other
DOI crossref	10.1111/pops.12465	10.1111/pops.12465
first author openalex	Friedman	Friedman	Friedman

Citations

OpenAlex: 16
Scholar: 34
DOI: 10.1111/pops.12465
OpenAlex: W2770808398

Match decisions

doi merged · 1.00 · Run 17

2018 The Value of Precision in Probability Assessment: Evidence from a Large-Scale Geopolitical Forecasting Tournament International Studies Quarterly article journal CV OA GS

CV span

lines 67–70 · CV · published

67Jeffrey A. Friedman*, Joshua D. Baker, Barbara A. Mellers, Philip E. Tetlock, and Richard68Zeckhauser, “The Value of Precision in Probability Assessment: Evidence from a Large-Scale69Geopolitical Forecasting Tournament,” International Studies Quarterly, Vol. 62, No. 2 (2018),70pp. 410-422.

Institution fields

Peer reviewed: yes
First author: Friedman

Fields by source

Field	CV	OpenAlex	Scholar
title cv	The Value of Precision in Probability Assessment: Evidence from a Large-Scale Geopolitical Forecasting Tournament	The Value of Precision in Probability Assessment: Evidence from a Large-Scale Geopolitical Forecasting TournamentThe Value of Precision in Probability Assessment	The value of precision in probability assessment: Evidence from a large-scale geopolitical forecasting tournament
year cv	2018	20182019	2018
venue crossref	International Studies Quarterly	International Studies Quarterly	International Studies Quarterly
kind cv	article	articlechapter	other
DOI crossref	10.1093/isq/sqx078	10.1093/isq/sqx07810.1093/oso/9780190938024.003.0004
first author openalex	Friedman	FriedmanFriedman	Friedman

Also recorded as

W2938731769 (DOI 10.1093/oso/9780190938024.003.0004) · same title · 2019 The Value of Precision in Probability Assessment

Citations

OpenAlex: 62
Scholar: 90
DOI: 10.1093/isq/sqx078
OpenAlex: W2792589092

Match decisions

gemini merged · 0.98 · Run 17 These records share the exact DOI and title for the article on precision in probability assessment.

2017 Behavioral Consequences of Probabilistic Precision: Experimental Evidence from National Security Professionals International Organization article journal CV OA GS

CV span

lines 72–74 · CV · published

72Jeffrey A. Friedman*, Jennifer S. Lerner, and Richard Zeckhauser, “Behavioral Consequences of73Probabilistic Precision: Experimental Evidence from National Security Professionals,”74International Organization, Vol. 71, No. 4 (2017), pp. 803-826.

Institution fields

Peer reviewed: yes
First author: Friedman

Fields by source

Field	CV	OpenAlex	Scholar
title cv	Behavioral Consequences of Probabilistic Precision: Experimental Evidence from National Security Professionals	Behavioral Consequences of Probabilistic Precision: Experimental Evidence from National Security Professionals	Behavioral consequences of probabilistic precision: Experimental evidence from national security professionals
year cv	2017	2017	2017
venue crossref	International Organization	International Organization	International Organization
kind cv	article	article	other
DOI crossref	10.1017/s0020818317000352	10.1017/s0020818317000352
first author openalex	Friedman	Friedman	Friedman

Citations

OpenAlex: 43
Scholar: 46
DOI: 10.1017/s0020818317000352
OpenAlex: W2757751388

Match decisions

doi merged · 1.00 · Run 17

2017 Jeffrey A. Friedman International Organization article journal CV OA GS Scholar only

CV span

Not in the CV.

Fields by source

Field	CV	OpenAlex	Scholar
title scholar			Jeffrey A. Friedman
year scholar			2017
venue scholar			International Organization
kind scholar			other
first author scholar			Friedman

Citations

OpenAlex: none
Scholar: 2

Match decisions

No decision recorded; a single record.

2017 Making Tradeoffs without Assessing Probabilities: The Costs and Benefits of Vague Information in National Security Decision Making The Sword’s Other Edge: Tradeoffs in the Pursuit of Military Effectiveness chapter CV OA GS

CV span

lines 131–135 · CV · published

131Jeffrey A. Friedman, “Making Tradeoffs without Assessing Probabilities: The Costs and Benefits132of Vague Information in National Security Decision Making” in The Sword’s Other Edge:133Tradeoffs in the Pursuit of Military Effectiveness ed. Dan Reiter (New York: Cambridge134University Press, 2017). Peer-reviewed.135

Institution fields

Peer reviewed: yes
First author: Friedman

Fields by source

Field	CV	OpenAlex	Scholar
title cv	Making Tradeoffs without Assessing Probabilities: The Costs and Benefits of Vague Information in National Security Decision Making	Making Trade-offs without Assessing Probabilities	8 Making Trade-offs without Assessing
year cv	2017	2017	2017
venue cv	The Sword’s Other Edge: Tradeoffs in the Pursuit of Military Effectiveness	Cambridge University Press eBooks	The Sword's Other Edge: Trade-offs in the Pursuit of Military Effectiveness
kind cv	chapter	chapter	other
DOI crossref	10.1017/9781108241786.008	10.1017/9781108241786.008
first author openalex	Friedman	Friedman	FRIEDMAN

Citations

OpenAlex: 0
Scholar: none
DOI: 10.1017/9781108241786.008
OpenAlex: W2769165552

Match decisions

doi merged · 1.00 · Run 17

2016 Why assessing estimative accuracy is feasible and desirable Intelligence and National Security article journal CV OA GS Scholar only needs review

CV span

Not in the CV.

Fields by source

Field	CV	OpenAlex	Scholar
title scholar			Why assessing estimative accuracy is feasible and desirable
year scholar			2016
venue scholar			Intelligence and National Security
kind scholar			other
first author scholar			Friedman

Citations

OpenAlex: none
Scholar: 27

Match decisions

passthrough_guard not merged · 0.98 · year_spread · Run 17 These records share the same DOI and title for the article on estimative accuracy.

2016 Why Evaluating Estimative Accuracy is Feasible and Desirable Intelligence & National Security article journal CV OA GS needs review

CV span

lines 76–77 · CV · published

76Jeffrey A. Friedman* and Richard Zeckhauser, “Why Evaluating Estimative Accuracy is77Feasible and Desirable,” Intelligence and National Security, Vol. 31, No. 2 (2016), pp. 178-200.

Institution fields

Peer reviewed: yes
First author: Friedman

Fields by source

Field	CV	OpenAlex
title cv	Why Evaluating Estimative Accuracy is Feasible and Desirable	Why Assessing Estimative Accuracy is Feasible and Desirable
year cv	2016	2014
venue openalex	Intelligence and National Security	Intelligence & National Security
kind cv	article	article
DOI crossref	10.1080/02684527.2014.980534	10.1080/02684527.2014.980534
first author openalex	Friedman	Friedman

Citations

OpenAlex: 16
Scholar: none
DOI: 10.1080/02684527.2014.980534
OpenAlex: W2062027070

Match decisions

passthrough_guard not merged · 0.98 · year_spread · Run 17 These records share the same DOI and title for the article on estimative accuracy.
doi merged · 1.00 · Run 17

2015 Handling and Mishandling Estimative Probability: Likelihood, Confidence, and the Search for Bin Laden Intelligence and National Security article journal CV OA GS

CV span

lines 82–84 · CV · published

82Jeffrey A. Friedman* and Richard Zeckhauser, “Handling and Mishandling Estimative83Probability: Likelihood, Confidence, and the Search for Bin Laden,” Intelligence and National84Security, Vol. 30, No. 1 (2015), pp. 77-99.

Institution fields

Peer reviewed: yes
First author: Friedman

Fields by source

Field	CV	OpenAlex	Scholar
title cv	Handling and Mishandling Estimative Probability: Likelihood, Confidence, and the Search for Bin Laden	Handling and Mishandling Estimative Probability: Likelihood, Confidence, and the Search for Bin Laden	Handling and mishandling estimative probability: Likelihood, confidence, and the search for Bin Laden
year cv	2015	2014	2015
venue crossref	Intelligence and National Security	Intelligence & National Security	Intelligence and National Security
kind cv	article	article	other
DOI crossref	10.1080/02684527.2014.885202	10.1080/02684527.2014.885202
first author openalex	Friedman	Friedman	Friedman

Citations

OpenAlex: 55
Scholar: 77
DOI: 10.1080/02684527.2014.885202
OpenAlex: W1999375896

Match decisions

doi merged · 1.00 · Run 17

2015 Using Power Laws to Estimate Conflict Size Journal of Conflict Resolution article journal CV OA GS

CV span

lines 79–80 · CV · published

79Jeffrey A. Friedman, “Using Power Laws to Estimate Conflict Size,” Journal of Conflict80Resolution, Vol. 59, No. 7 (2015), pp. 1216-1241.

Institution fields

Peer reviewed: yes
First author: Friedman

Fields by source

Field	CV	OpenAlex	Scholar
title cv	Using Power Laws to Estimate Conflict Size	Using Power Laws to Estimate Conflict Size	Using power laws to estimate conflict size
year cv	2015	2014	2015
venue crossref	Journal of Conflict Resolution	Journal of Conflict Resolution	Journal of Conflict Resolution
kind cv	article	article	other
DOI crossref	10.1177/0022002714530430	10.1177/0022002714530430
first author openalex	Friedman	Friedman	Friedman

Citations

OpenAlex: 37
Scholar: 51
DOI: 10.1177/0022002714530430
OpenAlex: W2105638804

Match decisions

doi merged · 1.00 · Run 17

2015 Why Quantitative Probability Assessments are Empirically Justifiable in Foreign Policy Analysis Foreign Policy Analysis other journal CV OA GS Scholar only

CV span

Not in the CV.

Fields by source

Field	CV	OpenAlex	Scholar
title scholar			Why Quantitative Probability Assessments are Empirically Justifiable in Foreign Policy Analysis
year scholar			2015
venue scholar			Foreign Policy Analysis
kind scholar			other
first author scholar			Friedman

Citations

OpenAlex: none
Scholar: 2

Match decisions

No decision recorded; a single record.

2014 Why Did Violence Decline in Iraq in 2007? The New Counter-insurgency Era in Critical Perspective chapter CV OA GS needs review

CV span

lines 136–138 · CV · published

136Stephen Biddle, Jeffrey A. Friedman, and Jacob N. Shapiro, “Why Did Violence Decline in Iraq137in 2007?” in The New Counterinsurgency Era in Critical Perspective, ed. Celeste Ward Gventer,138David Martin Jones, and M. L. R. Smith (New York: Palgrave Macmillan, 2014).

Institution fields

Peer reviewed: none
First author: Biddle

Fields by source

Field	CV	OpenAlex	CrossRef
title cv	Why Did Violence Decline in Iraq in 2007?	Testing the SurgeTesting the Surge: Why Did Violence Decline in Iraq in 2007?
year cv	2014	20142014
venue crossref	The New Counterinsurgency Era in Critical Perspective	Palgrave Macmillan eBooksPalgrave Macmillan UK eBooks	The New Counter-insurgency Era in Critical Perspective
kind cv	chapter	chapterchapter
DOI crossref	10.1057/9781137336941_11	10.1057/9781137336941.001710.1057/9781137336941_11
first author openalex	Biddle	BiddleBiddle

Also recorded as

W2489088047 (DOI 10.1057/9781137336941.0017) · platform twin · 2014 Testing the Surge

Citations

OpenAlex: 26
Scholar: none
DOI: 10.1057/9781137336941_11
OpenAlex: W4251643424

Match decisions

passthrough_guard not merged · 0.95 · doi_conflict · Run 17 These records represent the journal article and book chapter versions of the study on the decline of violence in Iraq.
doi merged · 1.00 · Run 17

2013 Correspondence: Assessing the Synergy Thesis in Iraq International Security article journal CV OA GS

CV span

lines 139–140 · CV · published

139Stephen Biddle, Jeffrey A. Friedman, and Jacob N. Shapiro, “Correspondence: Assessing the140Synergy Thesis in Iraq,” International Security, Vol. 37. No. 4 (2013) pp. 173-198.

Institution fields

Peer reviewed: no
First author: Biddle

Fields by source

Field	CV	OpenAlex	Scholar
title cv	Correspondence: Assessing the Synergy Thesis in Iraq	Correspondence: Assessing the Synergy Thesis in Iraq	Correspondence: Assessing the Synergy Thesis in Iraq
year cv	2013	2013	2013
venue crossref	International Security	International Security	International Security
kind cv	article	article	other
DOI crossref	10.1162/isec_c_00118	10.1162/isec_c_00118
first author openalex	Biddle	Hagan	Hagan

Citations

OpenAlex: 39
Scholar: 18
DOI: 10.1162/isec_c_00118
OpenAlex: W2113556992

Match decisions

doi merged · 1.00 · Run 17

2013 Stephen Biddle, Jeffrey A. Friedman, and Jacob N. Shapiro Reply International Security article journal CV OA GS Scholar only

CV span

Not in the CV.

Fields by source

Field	OpenAlex	Scholar
title openalex	Stephen Biddle, Jeffrey A. Friedman, and Jacob N. Shapiro Reply	Stephen Biddle, Jeffrey A. Friedman, and Jacob N. Shapiro Reply
year openalex	2013	2013
venue scholar		International Security
kind openalex	article	other
first author openalex	Biddle	Biddle

Citations

OpenAlex: 1
Scholar: none
OpenAlex: W3005311628

Match decisions

fingerprint merged · 1.00 · Run 17

2012 Assessing Uncertainty in Intelligence Intelligence and National Security article journal CV OA GS

CV span

lines 89–90 · CV · published

89Jeffrey A. Friedman and Richard Zeckhauser, “Assessing Uncertainty in Intelligence,”90Intelligence and National Security, Vol. 27, No. 6 (2012), pp. 824-847.

Institution fields

Peer reviewed: yes
First author: Friedman

Fields by source

Field	CV	OpenAlex	Scholar
title cv	Assessing Uncertainty in Intelligence	Assessing Uncertainty in IntelligenceAssessing Uncertainty in Intelligence	Assessing uncertainty in intelligence
year cv	2012	20122012	2012
venue crossref	Intelligence and National Security	Intelligence & National SecurityRePEc: Research Papers in Economics	Intelligence and National Security
kind cv	article	articleworking_paper	other
DOI crossref	10.1080/02684527.2012.708275	10.1080/02684527.2012.708275
first author openalex	Friedman	FriedmanFriedman	Friedman

Citations

OpenAlex: 91
Scholar: 133
DOI: 10.1080/02684527.2012.708275
OpenAlex: W3121750824

Match decisions

doi merged · 1.00 · Run 17

2012 Civil War Intervention and the Problem of Iraq International Studies Quarterly article journal CV OA GS

CV span

lines 92–93 · CV · published

92Stephen Biddle, Jeffrey A. Friedman, and Stephen Long, “Civil War Intervention and the93Problem of Iraq,” International Studies Quarterly, Vol. 56, No. 1 (2012), pp. 85-98.

Institution fields

Peer reviewed: yes
First author: Biddle

Fields by source

Field	CV	OpenAlex	Scholar
title cv	Civil War Intervention and the Problem of Iraq	Civil War Intervention and the Problem of Iraq1	Civil war intervention and the problem of Iraq
year cv	2012	2012	2012
venue crossref	International Studies Quarterly	International Studies Quarterly	International Studies Quarterly
kind cv	article	article	other
DOI crossref	10.1111/j.1468-2478.2011.00705.x	10.1111/j.1468-2478.2011.00705.x
first author openalex	Biddle	Biddle	Biddle

Citations

OpenAlex: 17
Scholar: 35
DOI: 10.1111/j.1468-2478.2011.00705.x
OpenAlex: W1898557644

Match decisions

doi merged · 1.00 · Run 17

2012 Testing the Surge: Why Did Violence Decline in Iraq in 2007? International Security article journal CV OA GS needs review

CV span

lines 86–87 · CV · published

86Stephen Biddle, Jeffrey A. Friedman, and Jacob N. Shapiro, “Testing the Surge: Why Did87Violence Decline in Iraq in 2007?” International Security, Vol. 37, No. 1 (2012), pp. 7-40.

Institution fields

Peer reviewed: yes
First author: Biddle

Fields by source

Field	CV	OpenAlex	Scholar
title cv	Testing the Surge: Why Did Violence Decline in Iraq in 2007?	Testing the Surge: Why Did Violence Decline in Iraq in 2007?	Testing the surge: Why did violence decline in Iraq in 2007?
year cv	2012	2012	2012
venue crossref	International Security	International Security	International Security
kind cv	article	article	other
DOI crossref	10.1162/isec_a_00087	10.1162/isec_a_00087
first author openalex	Biddle	Biddle	Biddle

Citations

OpenAlex: 277
Scholar: 364
DOI: 10.1162/isec_a_00087
OpenAlex: W2032591502

Match decisions

passthrough_guard not merged · 0.95 · doi_conflict · Run 17 These records represent the journal article and book chapter versions of the study on the decline of violence in Iraq.
doi merged · 1.00 · Run 17

2011 Manpower and Counterinsurgency: Empirical Foundations for Theory and Doctrine Security Studies article journal CV OA GS

CV span

lines 95–96 · CV · published

95Jeffrey A. Friedman, “Manpower and Counterinsurgency: Empirical Foundations for Theory and96Doctrine,” Security Studies, Vol. 20, No. 4 (2011), pp. 556-591.

Institution fields

Peer reviewed: yes
First author: Friedman

Fields by source

Field	CV	OpenAlex	Scholar
title cv	Manpower and Counterinsurgency: Empirical Foundations for Theory and Doctrine	Manpower and Counterinsurgency: Empirical Foundations for Theory and Doctrine	Manpower and counterinsurgency: Empirical foundations for theory and doctrine
year cv	2011	2011	2011
venue crossref	Security Studies	Security Studies	Security Studies
kind cv	article	article	other
DOI crossref	10.1080/09636412.2011.625768	10.1080/09636412.2011.625768
first author openalex	Friedman	Friedman	Friedman

Citations

OpenAlex: 50
Scholar: 78
DOI: 10.1080/09636412.2011.625768
OpenAlex: W2026359517

Match decisions

doi merged · 1.00 · Run 17

2011 The 2006 Lebanon Campaign Hybrid Warfare and Transnational Threats: Perspectives for an Era of Persistent Conflicts chapter CV OA GS

CV span

lines 142–146 · CV · published

142Stephen Biddle and Jeffrey A. Friedman, “The 2006 Lebanon Campaign” in Hybrid Warfare and143Transnational Threats: Perspectives for an Era of Persistent Conflicts, ed. Paul Brister, William144145Natter, and Robert Tomes (Washington, D.C.: Center for Emerging National Security Affairs,1462011).

Institution fields

Peer reviewed: none
First author: Biddle

Fields by source

Field	CV	OpenAlex	Scholar
title cv	The 2006 Lebanon Campaign
year cv	2011
venue cv	Hybrid Warfare and Transnational Threats: Perspectives for an Era of Persistent Conflicts
kind cv	chapter
first author cv	Biddle

Citations

OpenAlex: none
Scholar: none

Match decisions

gemini merged · 0.95 · Run 17 These records share the same title, authors, and DOI for the report on the 2006 Lebanon campaign.

2008 The 2006 Lebanon Campaign and the Future of Warfare: Implications for Army and Defense Policy Strategic Studies Institute, U.S. Army War College report CV OA GS

CV span

lines 98–100 · CV · published

98Stephen Biddle and Jeffrey A. Friedman, The 2006 Lebanon Campaign and the Future of99Warfare: Implications for Army and Defense Policy (Carlisle, Penn.: Strategic Studies Institute,100U.S. Army War College, 2008).

Institution fields

Peer reviewed: no
First author: Biddle

Fields by source

Field	CV	OpenAlex	Scholar
title cv	The 2006 Lebanon Campaign and the Future of Warfare: Implications for Army and Defense Policy	The 2006 Lebanon Campaign and the Future of Warfare: Implications for Army and Defense Policy	2006 Lebanon Campaign and the Future of Warfare: Implications for Army and Defense Policy
year cv	2008	2008	2009
venue cv	Strategic Studies Institute, U.S. Army War College		U.S. Army War College Strategic Studies Institute
kind cv	report	report	other
DOI crossref	10.21236/ada486604	10.21236/ada486604
first author openalex	Biddle	Biddle	Biddle

Citations

OpenAlex: 63
Scholar: 182
DOI: 10.21236/ada486604
OpenAlex: W284215904

Match decisions

gemini merged · 0.95 · Run 17 These records share the same title, authors, and DOI for the report on the 2006 Lebanon campaign.

2008 The Myth of the Rational Voter: Why Democracies Choose Bad Policies Perspectives on Politics article journal CV OA GS Scholar only

CV span

Not in the CV.

Fields by source

Field	OpenAlex	Scholar
title openalex	The Myth of the Rational Voter: Why Democracies Choose Bad Policies	The Myth of the Rational Voter: Why Democracies Choose Bad Policies
year openalex	2008	2008
venue openalex	Perspectives on Politics	Perspectives on Politics
kind openalex	article	other
DOI openalex	10.1017/s1537592708080158
first author openalex	Friedman	Friedman

Citations

OpenAlex: 308
Scholar: none
DOI: 10.1017/s1537592708080158
OpenAlex: W2104219981

Match decisions

fingerprint merged · 1.00 · Run 17

2003 Vague Probability Assessments in National Security Decision Making: Exploring the Justifications for a Remarkably Uncontroversial Practice Perspectives on Politics article journal CV OA GS Scholar only

CV span

Not in the CV.

Fields by source

Field	CV	OpenAlex	Scholar
title scholar			Vague Probability Assessments in National Security Decision Making: Exploring the Justifications for a Remarkably Uncontroversial Practice
year scholar			2003
venue scholar			Perspectives on Politics
kind scholar			other
first author scholar			Friedman

Citations

OpenAlex: none
Scholar: none

Match decisions

No decision recorded; a single record.

In progress

1 item in progress, under review, forthcoming or a working paper · not counted as publications

2014 How cumulative dynamics affect military decision making Working Paper. Hanover, NH: Dartmouth University working paper CV OA GS Scholar only

CV span

Not in the CV.

Fields by source

Field	CV	OpenAlex	Scholar
title scholar			How cumulative dynamics affect military decision making
year scholar			2014
venue scholar			Working Paper. Hanover, NH: Dartmouth University
kind scholar			other
first author scholar			Friedman

Citations

OpenAlex: none
Scholar: 10

Match decisions

No decision recorded; a single record.

Positions

4 from the CV · current position answer · Scholar affiliation

Title	Organization	Years	Rank	Source	Lines
Professor of Government current	Dartmouth College	2026–	Full	CV	8, 10
Visiting Professor of Government	Harvard University	2023–2024	Visiting visiting full level	CV	8, 11
Associate Professor of Government	Dartmouth College	2020–2026	Associate	CV	8, 12
Assistant Professor of Government	Dartmouth College	2014–2020	Assistant	CV	8, 13
Professor of Government			Full	CV current position	10
Dartmouth College			Unknown	Scholar

Entries needing review

Nothing to review.

Entries dropped by a reviewer

No dropped entries.

Google Scholar

Profile: Verified profile ↗

Rank

rank: Full as of 2026
source: CV positions
title: Professor of Government

Identity

status: Auto
OpenAlex: A5055483500
method: doi_seeds
confidence: 1.00
profiles: A5055483500 (winner, 25 of 25 CV DOIs)
ORCID found: 0000-0002-3013-3950 (both, 25 seeds)
cross-check: 25/33 CV titles in 174 works
Scholar: Found n-nBBLYAAAAJ
open reviews: 7

winner A5055483500 with 25 of 25 seeds; ORCID 0000-0002-3013-3950 found on 25 seed works (both); saved; ORCID profile A5055483500 is already in the cluster

Cohort

cohort: Dartmouth Government

Metrics

h-index (Scholar): 16
citations (Scholar): 1367

Answers

PhD year: 2013 line 150
PhD institution: Harvard Kennedy School line 150
Current position: Professor of Government line 10

Latest run

run: Run 17
CV: jeffrey_a_friedman.pdf
stage: merge
status: Done

No outline yet.

CVs

jeffrey_a_friedman.pdf current