Publications

2026 Mano Dura: An Experimental Evaluation of Military Policing in Cali, Colombia Robert A. Blair · American Journal of Political Science 15 2025 Content That’s as Good as Contact? Vicarious Intergroup Contact and the Promise of Depolarization at Scale Robert A. Blair · Political Science Research and Methods 1 2025 Couples Therapy for a Divided America: Assessing the Effects of Reciprocal Group Reflection on Partisan Polarization. Robert A. Blair · Political Behavior 51 2025 Democratic Erosion Event Dataset (DEED) Robert A. Blair · Scientific Data 1 2025 Depolarization and Its Discontents: Experimental Evidence on Affective Polarization and Willingness to Confront Racism and Misinformation from Two Online Workshops Robert A. Blair · Political Psychology 1 2025 Depolarizing within the Comfort of Your Party: Experimental Evidence from Online Workshops Robert A. Blair · Political Communication 10 2025 Elites, the Aid Curse, and Chinese Development Finance: A Conjoint Survey Experiment on Elites’ Development Finance Preferences in 141 Low- and Middle-Income Countries Robert A. Blair · American Journal of Political Science 10 2025 Foreign Aid Robert A. Blair · IPSA Companion to Political Science 0 2025 Local Peace, International Builders: How UN Peacekeeping Builds Peace From the Bottom Up. By William G. Nomikos Robert A. Blair · Governance 0 2025 Public Works and Intimate Partner Violence: Experimental Evidence on Women’s Economic Empowerment from Egypt and Tunisia Robert A. Blair · British Journal of Political Science 1 2025 Restoring Police-Community Relations in Uganda Robert A. Blair · Crime, Insecurity, and Community Policing 0 2025 Why Do Citizens Support Ineffective Military Policing Policies? Evidence from Field and Survey Experiments in Colombia Robert A. Blair · The Journal of Politics 1 2024 An Events-Based Approach to Studying Democratic Erosion Robert A. Blair · PS: Political Science & Politics 24 2024 How Effective Are Media Literacy Interventions at Countering Misinformation in the Global South? Robert A. Blair · Democratic Erosion Consortium Democratic Erosion Evidence Brief · Scholar only 2 2024 Interventions to Counter Misinformation: Lessons From the Global North and Applications to the Global South. Robert A. Blair · Current Opinion in Psychology 114 2023 Little Evidence That Military Policing Reduces Crime or Improves Human Security Robert A. Blair · Nature Human Behaviour 79 2023 Patrullaje militar: Debates y evidencia para Colombia Robert A. Blair · CESED Comentario de Política · Scholar only — 2023 UN Peacekeeping and Democratization in Conflict-Affected Countries Robert A. Blair · American Political Science Review 61 2022 Civil War and Citizens’ Demand for the State: An Empirical Test of Hobbesian Theory Robert A. Blair · British Journal of Political Science 10 2022 Foreign Aid and Soft Power: Great Power Competition in Africa in the Early 21st Century Robert A. Blair · British Journal of Political Science 309 2022 Peacekeeping, Security Sector Reform, and the Rule of Law. Robert A. Blair · Consent in peacekeeping 0 2022 Policing Ethnicity: Lab-in-the-Field Evidence on Discrimination, Cooperation and Ethnic Balancing in the Liberian National Police Robert A. Blair · Quarterly Journal of Political Science 43 2022 Policing Practices to Build Community Trust and Legitimacy in the Global South Robert A. Blair · National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine 7 2022 Preventing Rebel Resurgence after Civil War: A Field Experiment in Security and Justice Provision in Rural Colombia Robert A. Blair · American Political Science Review 64 2022 Public Trust, Policing, and the COVID-19 Pandemic: Evidence from an Electoral Authoritarian Regime. Robert A. Blair · Social Science & Medicine 44 2022 Response to Audrey L. Comstock’s Review of Peacekeeping, Policing, and the Rule of Law after Civil War Robert A. Blair · Perspectives on Politics · Scholar only — 2022 The Promise and Pitfalls of Conflict Prediction: Evidence from Colombia and Indonesia Robert A. Blair · The Review of Economics and Statistics 113 2022 When Do UN Peacekeeping Operations Implement Their Mandates? Robert A. Blair · American Journal of Political Science 80 2021 Committed to Rights: UN Human Rights Treaties and Legal Paths for Commitment and Compliance. By Audrey L. Comstock Robert A. Blair · Perspectives on Politics 0 2021 Community policing does not build citizen trust in police or reduce crime in the Global South Robert A. Blair · Science 276 2021 Engineering Informal Institutions: Long-Run Impacts of Alternative Dispute Resolution on Violence and Property Rights in Liberia Robert A. Blair · The Journal of Politics 73 2021 Foreign Aid and State Legitimacy: Evidence on Chinese and US Aid to Africa from Surveys, Survey Experiments, and Behavioral Games Robert A. Blair · World Politics 151 2021 Is Theory Useful for Conflict Prediction? A Response to Beger, Morgan, and Ward Robert A. Blair · Journal of Conflict Resolution 14 2021 Policing and the Legacies of State Predation: Evidence from a Survey and Field Experiment in Liberia Robert A. Blair · Journal of Conflict Resolution 35 2021 UN Peacekeeping and the Rule of Law Robert A. Blair · American Political Science Review 66 2020 Building Credibility and Cooperation in Low-Trust Settings: Persuasion and Source Accountability in Liberia During the 2014–2015 Ebola Crisis Robert A. Blair · Comparative Political Studies 105 2020 Forecasting Civil Wars: Theory and Structure in an Age of “Big Data” and Machine Learning Robert A. Blair · Journal of Conflict Resolution 100 2020 Foreign Aid and State-Society Relations: Theory, Evidence, and New Directions for Research Robert A. Blair · Studies in Comparative International Development 72 2020 Peacekeeping, Policing, and the Rule of Law after Civil War Robert A. Blair · Cambridge University Press 74 2020 Special Issue on Foreign Aid, Service Delivery, and State-Society Relations in the Developing World Robert A. Blair · Studies in Comparative International Development — 2020 The Effectiveness of Police Accountability Mechanisms and Programs: What Works and the Way Forward Robert A. Blair · USAID — 2019 Establishing the Rule of Law in Weak and War-torn States: Evidence from a Field Experiment with the Liberian National Police Robert A. Blair · American Political Science Review 161 2019 International Intervention and the Rule of Law after Civil War: Evidence from Liberia Robert A. Blair · International Organization 95 2019 Teaching Trump: Why Comparative Politics Makes Students More Optimistic About US Democracy Robert A. Blair · PS: Political Science & Politics 7 2018 International Gender Balancing Reforms in Post-Conflict Countries: Lab-in-the-Field Evidence from the Liberian National Police Robert A. Blair · International Studies Quarterly 67 2017 On the Ground: Local Legacies of Gender Reforms in the UN Mission in Liberia Robert A. Blair · Equal Opportunity Peacekeeping: Women, Peace, and Security in Post-Conflict States 1 2017 Predicting Local Violence: Evidence from a Panel Survey in Liberia Robert A. Blair · Journal of Peace Research 140 2017 Public Health and Public Trust: Survey Evidence from the Ebola Virus Disease Epidemic in Liberia Robert A. Blair · Social Science & Medicine 792 2016 On the Rights of Warlords: Legitimate Authority and Basic Protection in War-Torn Societies Robert A. Blair · American Political Science Review 58 2016 Patterns of Demand for Non-Ebola Health Services During and After the Ebola Outbreak: Panel Survey Evidence from Monrovia, Liberia Robert A. Blair · BMJ Global Health 106