Publications

2026 Adaptive Confidence Sets for Binary Regression without Design Smoothness P. M. Aronow · Carolina Digital Repository (University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill) · Scholar only — 2026 Maximum cut and maximum bisection in random regular graphs P. M. Aronow · Carolina Digital Repository (University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill) · Scholar only — 2026 On the Foundations of the Design-Based Ap- proach P. M. Aronow · Political Analysis 1 2026 Randomization-Based Confidence Sets for the Local Average Treatment Effect P. M. Aronow · Biometrika 9 2025 Design-Based Inference for Spatial Experiments with Interference P. M. Aronow · The Annals of Applied Statistics 83 2025 Estimating Causal Effects in Experiments with Network Spillovers P. M. Aronow · Handbook of Computational Social Science 0 2025 Fast Computation of Exact Confidence Intervals for Randomized Experiments with Binary Outcomes P. M. Aronow · Journal of Econometrics 8 2025 Nonparametric Identification Is Not Enough, but Randomized Controlled Trials Are P. M. Aronow · Observational Studies 39 2025 Rejoinder: Non-parametric Identification Is Not Enough, but Randomized Controlled Trials Are P. M. Aronow · Observational Studies 0 2024 Exact Bias Correction for Linear Adjustment of Ran- domized Controlled Trials P. M. Aronow · Econometrica 23 2024 Gnostic Notes on Temporal Validity P. M. Aronow · Research & Politics 0 2024 Operationalizing Counterfactual Metrics: Incentives, Ranking, and Information Asymmetry P. M. Aronow · International Conference on Artificial Intel- ligence and Statistics (AISTATS) 9 2023 Dyadic Clustering in International Relations P. M. Aronow · Political Analysis 28 2023 Gathering, Evaluating, and Aggregating Social Scientific Models. P. M. Aronow · SSRN Electronic Journal · Scholar only 2 2023 On the Reliability of Published Findings using the Regression Discontinuity Design in Political Science P. M. Aronow · Research & Politics 68 2022 Listwise Deletion in High Dimensions P. M. Aronow · Political Analysis 31 2022 Spatial Experiments with Interference using the SpatialEffect Package P. M. Aronow · Journal of Agricultural, Biological and Environmental Statistics 5 2022 The Negative Consequences of Informing Voters about Deepfakes: Evidence from Two Survey Experiments P. M. Aronow · Journal of Online Trust and Safety 157 2021 Average Treatment Effects in the Presence of Unknown Interference P. M. Aronow · The Annals of Statistics 333 2021 Spillover Effects in Experimental Data P. M. Aronow · Advances in Experimental Political Science 58 2020 Evidence of Rising Rates of Inattentiveness on Lucid in 2020 P. M. Aronow · Technical report 154 2020 Review: The Book of Why P. M. Aronow · Journal of the American Statistical Association · needs review — 2020 The Book of Why: The New Science of Cause and Effect: Judea Pearl and Dana Mackenzie. New York: Basic Books, 2018, x+ 418 pp., $32.00 (H), ISBN: 978-0-46-509760-9. P. M. Aronow · Journal of the American statistical association · Scholar only · needs review 14 2019 A Note on Dropping Experimental Subjects who Fail a Manipulation Check P. M. Aronow · Political Analysis 419 2019 Foundations of Agnostic Statistics P. M. Aronow · Cambridge University Press 95 2019 International Institutions and Political Liberalization: Evidence from the World Bank Loans Program P. M. Aronow · British Journal of Political Science · Scholar only 38 2018 Changing climates of conflict: A social network experiment in 56 schools": Correction. P. M. Aronow · National Academy of Sciences · Scholar only 2 2018 Confidence Intervals for Linear Unbiased Estimators under Constrained Dependence P. M. Aronow · Electronic Journal of Statistics 5 2018 Identification of Homophily and Preferen- tial Recruitment in Respondent-driven Sampling P. M. Aronow · American Journal of Epidemiology 63 2018 The Effect of Images of Michelle Obama’s Face on Trick-or-Treaters’ Dietary Choices: A Randomized Controlled Trial P. M. Aronow · PLOS ONE 3 2017 A Note on Breaking Ties among Sample Medians P. M. Aronow · Technical report 2 2017 Estimating Average Causal Effects under General Interference, with Application to a Social Network Experiment P. M. Aronow · The Annals of Applied Statistics 920 2017 Information and Access to United Nations Diplomatic Missions: Results from a Randomized Field Experiment P. M. Aronow · Applied Economics Letters 0 2017 The Regression Discontinuity Design under Interference: A Local Randomization-Based Approach P. M. Aronow · Observational Studies 14 2017 Understanding Ding’s Apparent Paradox P. M. Aronow · Statistical Science 2 2016 A Note on “How Robust Standard Errors Expose Methodological Problems They Do Not Fix, and What to Do About It.” P. M. Aronow · Technical report 7 2016 Changing Climates of Conflict: A Social Net- work Experiment in 56 Schools P. M. Aronow · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 845 2016 Chocolate Scents and Product Sales: A Randomized Controlled Trial in a Canadian Bookstore and Caf´e P. M. Aronow · SpringerPlus 9 2016 Data-adaptive Causal Effects and Superefficiency P. M. Aronow · Journal of Causal Inference 5 2016 Does Regression Produce Representative Estimates of Causal Effects? P. M. Aronow · American Journal of Political Science 256 2016 “Driving Fatalities on US Presidential Election Days”: A Reanalysis P. M. Aronow · BMC Research Notes 1 2016 Ideologically Extreme Candidates in U.S. Presidential Elections, 1948 – 2012 P. M. Aronow · The ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Science 19 2016 Policy Misperceptions and Support for Gun Control Legislation P. M. Aronow · The Lancet 31 2016 Research Note: A More Powerful Test Statistic for Reasoning about Interference between Units P. M. Aronow · Political Analysis 20 2015 Cluster-Robust Variance Estimation for Dyadic Data P. M. Aronow · Political Analysis 200 2015 Combining List Experi- ment and Direct Question Estimates of Sensitive Behavior Prevalence P. M. Aronow · Journal of Survey Statistics and Methodology 141 2015 Editorial Bias in Crowd-Sourced Political Information P. M. Aronow · PLOS ONE 16 2015 icsw: Inverse Compliance Score Weighting P. M. Aronow · CRAN: Contributed Packages — 2015 Irregularities in LaCour (2014) P. M. Aronow · Technical report 98 2015 Nonparametric Identification for Respondent-Driven Sampling P. M. Aronow · Statistics & Probability Letters 13